MOGADISHU (SD)— African Union troops are expected to withdraw from four locations in Somalia’s Lower Shabelle region next week, according to sources. The move is part of a wider plan to reduce African Union forces as Somalia gradually takes greater responsibility for its own security.

The four locations have not been named, and officials have not confirmed the exact date of the withdrawal.

The reported move comes as Somali government forces continue operations against Al-Shabaab in several parts of the country. Questions remain about whether Somali forces have enough personnel, equipment and supplies to take over the positions left by the departing troops.

Lower Shabelle is strategically important because it lies near Mogadishu and includes major roads linking the capital with other parts of southern Somalia. African Union troops have supported operations in the region, helped protect key locations and contributed to the security of nearby communities.

If Somali forces are not ready to take over the positions, Al-Shabaab could try to exploit the change. However, there is no confirmed information that the group has taken control of the locations or has a specific plan to do so.

The transition is also linked to changes in the African Union’s security mission and funding challenges. The transition period has reportedly been extended until the end of December 2026. The Somali government and the African Union are expected to clarify the withdrawal schedule, identify the locations involved and explain which forces will replace the departing troops.

The planned withdrawal highlights the challenge of transferring security responsibilities from African Union troops to Somalia’s own forces. A successful handover will depend on whether Somali troops are prepared, properly equipped and able to remain in the positions after the African Union forces leave.

Lower Shabelle’s location near Mogadishu makes the transition particularly important for protecting roads, supporting military operations and maintaining access between the capital and southern regions. Any disruption could complicate government efforts against Al-Shabaab.

The reported withdrawal does not necessarily mean that security will deteriorate. The outcome will depend on how the handover is organized and whether replacement forces are ready before the departing troops leave.

The next important step is official confirmation of the four locations and the plan for replacing the troops. Until that information is available, the full impact of the withdrawal remains unclear.